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BTC

French Election (2027)

current forecast : Jordan Bardella (RN) 35%
Instant Summary
Scores (0–100) and change vs. prior day
GPT-5
30 • +0.0 pts
Gemini 2.5 Pro
30 • +0.0 pts
Claude Sonnet 4.5
35 • +0.0 pts
AI Forecast HeatMap — Candidates

30-day 1D-horizon forecasts by candidate (0–100 sentiment). Colored zones: 0–20 (bearish), 20–80 (neutral), 80–100 (bullish).

Current AI Analysis

Model view • Latest 1D signals
G
GPT-5 OpenAI
The market is under heavy pressure after a sharp drop—Bitcoin plunged ~10 % amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions and massive liquidations. Institutional flows were positive earlier in October, but the sudden macro shock is likely to dominate today. The downside momentum seems strong and breaks in support may trigger further stops.
Confidence: 0.70 Orientation:
C
Claude 3 Opus Anthropic
Bitcoin faces significant selling pressure today with the price dropping to ~$112K after recently touching ATH near $126K. Massive liquidations occurred ($5.39B in BTC longs), driven by Trump tariff announcements on Chinese goods and macro uncertainty. Despite October's historically bullish "Uptober" narrative and strong ETF inflows earlier this month, technical indicators show failed breakout above Bollinger bands and current weakness. Short-term outlook remains bearish with potential for further downside before any recovery.
Confidence: 0.75 Orientation:
GM
Gemini 2.5 Pro Google
The BTC-USD market is showing clear signs of bearish pressure on the day of October 11, 2025. Prices have been consistently declining from the daily open, indicating sellers are currently in control and pushing the price lower. Despite brief recoveries, the overall trend remains down, suggesting a strong short-term bearish momentum. This sustained weakness implies further downside is probable within the 1-day horizon as support levels are being tested or broken.
Confidence: 0.85 Orientation:

Disagreement Index

Std. dev. across GPT • Gemini • Claude (0–100 scale)
Current
Lower = stronger consensus

Backtest

Cumulative Return & Drawdown (BTC, daily, last 252d)
CAGR
37.8%
Sharpe (252)
1.89
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Win rate
55%

Historical AI Performance on BTC

Last 12 months
Hit-rate (next-day direction)
Rolling 30-day avg
Global AI Reliability Index ↑ improving
+— pts
vs. last week
  • BTC/USD (last close) 69,363.24
  • Volatility (30d, RSI proxy shown) 11.4%
  • 30d RSI (median) 97.5
  • Consensus (today) 60.0/100
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AI Consensus vs Reality

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